Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.443378 2.829342 3.265285 3.795891 4.426600 5.155175 6.064632
2025-02-16 1.870514 2.373409 3.003882 3.860072 5.004319 6.497534 8.621148
2025-02-23 1.576172 2.123543 2.858919 3.934568 5.493836 7.712760 11.183795
2025-03-02 1.344115 1.897015 2.681047 3.897511 5.780456 8.657632 13.532866
2025-03-09 1.197956 1.759829 2.594833 3.959355 6.198764 9.848494 16.506166
2025-03-16 1.060941 1.612222 2.464808 3.921641 6.437558 10.778094 19.237987
2025-03-23 0.954160 1.494588 2.360932 3.902589 6.692734 11.768315 22.299935
2025-03-30 0.855357 1.375957 2.237355 3.826598 6.826631 12.553385 25.142490
2025-04-06 0.794978 1.312826 2.196957 3.888085 7.219001 13.897473 29.481787
2025-04-13 0.719988 1.215550 2.084366 3.798123 7.299234 14.625013 32.642375
2025-04-20 0.687243 1.188510 2.093161 3.939104 7.866480 16.487273 38.995417
2025-04-27 0.638826 1.127548 2.031596 3.930733 8.115720 17.694636 44.063885
2025-05-04 0.599987 1.087209 2.017730 4.048049 8.733838 20.073348 53.602215
2025-05-11 0.556313 1.034141 1.975606 4.107967 9.260880 22.450288 64.411515
2025-05-18 0.520253 0.990824 1.945947 4.188337 9.854683 25.180752 77.644906
2025-05-25 0.478067 0.929683 1.870197 4.148538 10.136620 27.148327 89.374232
2025-06-01 0.449401 0.892895 1.841329 4.214932 10.716226 30.174366 106.624257
2025-06-08 0.415953 0.841919 1.774100 4.174442 10.992710 32.370653 121.984296
2025-06-15 0.387539 0.798603 1.718494 4.153990 11.324424 34.870077 140.239371
2025-06-22 0.358211 0.750024 1.644471 4.072423 11.455872 36.745711 156.985043
2025-06-29 0.340607 0.726032 1.625851 4.138420 12.066953 40.577872 186.092307
2025-07-06 0.315555 0.682195 1.553499 4.041864 12.130518 42.387268 206.088204
2025-07-13 0.305700 0.673032 1.566273 4.193190 13.071123 48.061733 252.837764